Posted on: October 31, 2011 1:21 pm
Edited on: October 31, 2011 1:27 pm
After looking at these figures, playing an average of 2 games a week, though the Championship League may not have as high of quality as the Premier League, I've got to like the action.
Rough Math, team in parenthesis is last team surviving relegation drop):
1993-1994 (Ipswich Town 43) 42 matches played
* Sheffield United 42
* Oldham Athletic 40
* Swindon Town 30
1994-1995 (Aston Villa 48) 42 matches played
* Crystal Palace 45
* Norwich City 43
* Leicester City 29
* Ipswich Town 27
(Longer schedule probably played in early years of PL, surely this year with 4 teams going down in 94-95)
Posted on: October 18, 2011 6:54 am
Really, quick, how can this be?? Foreign owners have brought up plans wishing to scrap the Relegation/Promotion system of the English Leagues and while that sounds far fetched, they would just need a majority of owners to vote the system in. So, how would one determine the 20 teams that would always be in the Top Flight?? This would seem to be a matter of chance, after all, last year, we saw West Ham, Blackpool and Birmingham go down. Also, what right would a "small club" like Wigan have to be in the Premier League?? I've always admired a "small club" being able to make the top flight, that is how the system works but likewise, it would not be fair for a small club to be up there at the cost of the bad luck of "big clubs" as Leeds certainly are and possibly the Sheffield Clubs, United and Wednesday and in fact, West Ham United. I just don't get this "scrap relegation" talk or see any benefits in it.
But while here, I really do see the 4 team playoff of the Championship League, League I and II as rather brutal. I believe the 3rd-6th place teams play a one-on-one 2 game series with each other and then have a deciding game at Wembley after that between the 2 winners. That's really tough but in the end I suppose fair.
It seems to me that over the last 2 years, we've seen Cardiff City and Nottingham Forest in the playoffs and not succeed. I believe some years, the last playoff team has won the 4 club playoff and I'm not completely sure if that is fair. Blackpool may have done that.
As of now, the playoff teams in the Championship League are taken by 3. Middlesbrough 4. Derby County 5. Brighton, Hove and Albion and 6. Hull City.
Anyway, there are plenty of articles right now on the "scrap relegation" movement and SAF, Sir Alex Ferguson has come out against it. We don't quite have that system in our most lucrative sports league, the NFL and but one envision what if we had a relegation system in American Football. But it's comparing apples and oranges, the two sports are too different. Some have wanted to see the NFL have 2 different conferences and all the teams are just lined up without divisions, meaning San Francisco, Dallas, Detroit would all be vying for the top places. It works well in the EPL but the NFL has been that way for many decades. Some want the MLS to go to an all one conference format as well. The current system may need to be finetuned in the MLS but overall, works fine.
Posted on: October 8, 2011 8:33 am
Edited on: October 9, 2011 10:22 pm
These are the teams susceptible to the drop, I firmly believe Wolverhampton have played mostly close games, losing to QPR 0-3 at home but besides that, they have a GD, goal differential of -4. I don't think they will have much trouble staying up, maybe be a bottom 6 or 7 team at season's end. Fulham likewise is now playing good football, amazingly blasting QPR 6-0. Everton I tell everyone is not as weak as some make them out to be. All the same, Everton is a question mark and perhaps others are right in that they are in for a dismal year. They do not seem to have a real go-to guy but have had acceptable performances in most games.
Posted on: May 7, 2011 9:16 am
Edited on: May 7, 2011 9:56 am
Just figuring out the math here, I would love to see Wigan win but I do go along with Lawro and think they can and will basically choke.
By the end of the weekend, I'd look for standings as being something like this.
Birmingham 40 points
Blackburn 38 points
Blackpool 35 points
Wigan 35 points
West Ham 35 points
Wolverhampton 34 points (sorry Wolves, I think West Brom is going to win this Derby)
Let's go through the PL Derbies real quick:
Aston Villa, Birmingham, Wolves and West Brom are all up in the Birmingham area, that is 4 teams or 20% of the PL teams,
London has 5, CFC, Tottenham, West Ham, Arsenal and Fulham, 25% of the teams as well. Queen's Park Rangers will constitute a 6th London team next year.
Manchester of couse, has 2 teams and are actually close to Blackburn/Bolton I have heard.
Blackburn, Bolton and Wigan are all in the same area.
Sunderland and Newcastle are very close to each other as are the Merseyside teams of Liverpool and Everton.
This leaves 2 other teams, Blackpool and Stoke City. The only teams truly isolated from the rest.
Posted on: May 1, 2011 10:31 am
Edited on: May 1, 2011 10:33 am
I can't get enough of this.
15. Birmingham City 39 points -17
See soccerway.com for the complete table.
Strength of schedule
Hardest to Easiest:
Blackpool vs. Man Utd and Tottenham
Blackburn vs. Man Utd.
West Ham vs. Man City
Brum vs. Tottenham
Now, getting down to the remaining crunch games for the last 5 or six games remaining. Relegation fighters emboldened and is mainly reserved for the last 5 or 6 teams.
Manchester City West Ham
Aston Villa Wigan
Newcastle Birmingham City
West Ham United Blackburn Rovers Very crucial for West Ham, surely they can win at home.
Wolverhampton West Brom
Blackburn Rovers Manchester United
Blackpool Bolton Wanderers
Birmingham City Fulham
Wigan West Ham Utd.
Manchester United Blackpool
Stoke City Wigan
Tottenham Birmingham City
West Ham United Sunderland
Wolverhampton Blackburn Rovers
1st off, Wigan's game on 5/22 vs. Stoke City will be difficult whether Stoke City wins the FA Cup or loses, if Stoke is triumphant, they can't just play a sorry game and if they lose the FA Cup to Man City, will need to atone for themselves.
West Ham though having difficult games plays Blackburn and Wigan in consecutive games of which if they could win, surely would see them 'stay up'as the last game vs. Sunderland should be winnable as well.
Posted on: April 16, 2011 12:29 pm
Edited on: April 16, 2011 1:05 pm
A quick scan of the most likely candidates to go down in the last 3 of the Premier League. This does not mean Birmingham, Aston Villa, Stoke City, Fulham are all safe but in all likelihood, I think they are. It's simply amazing that with Wigan facing Sunderland at the Stadium of Light next week, they look very alive to stay in the Premier League now. The Wolves with their opposition look to have a good chance to stay up, none of the teams are in the top 10 even. I believe as the season comes to a close, there may be some teams that will not care too much if they win or lose the very last game if they are guaranteed of staying up.
Sunderland, 5 games left:
April 23rd: Wigan
April 30th: Fulham
May 7th: @Bolton
May 14th: Wolverhampton
May 22nd: @West Ham
Blackburn, 5 games left:
April 25th Man City
April 30th: Bolton
May 7th: @ West Ham
May 14th: Man Utd.
May 22nd: @ Wolverhampton
Wigan, 5 games left:
@ Aston Villa
@ Stoke City
Blackpool, 5 games left:
West Ham, 5 games left
@ Man City
Wolverhampton, 6 games left
@ Stoke City
@ Birmingham City
Looking at these schedules, I think West Ham is in big trouble with games vs. Chelsea and Man City. Still, that leaves 3 games where they can potentially win which should be close to enough for them. I think this game they lost after full time versus Aston Villa was in fact, very crucial.
Posted on: April 16, 2011 11:58 am
Unbelievably, Wigan finds themselves out of the red zone by defeating Blackpool, 1-3 at the 90th minute and if the West Ham/Aston Villa game remains drawn or the Hammers lose. Roberto Martinez dubbed Chelsea's single goal last week to defeat Wigan as questionable, so apparently, Wigan is now playing some good football.
Go to soccerway.com for the full table, Wolves have played one game less than the other bottom 6.
Sunderland can't win for anything. Steve Bruce's job in doubt? I'd think so. West Ham after having a fair run, now show themselves unable to get a key win.
Still, with between 5-6 games remaining, it looks like we will see a photo finish. Except for the Mackems who don't seem able to win right now, it definitely appears the 3 teams that go down will be 3 of the last 5 and that Brum, Villa, etc. should escape.
9th and 10th, Newcastle and West Brom, 39 points.
11-15th Fulham, Stoke City, Sunderland, Aston Villa, Birmingham City, 38 points
16th Blackburn 35 points
17th Wigan 34 points
18th Blackpool 33 points
19th West Ham 32 points
20th Wolverhampton 32 points.